WEEKLY ROUND-UP (06 DEC-12 DEC)

This is our third weekly round-up. We will go back on our weekly tweets of interest and expand further on the indicators that we presented, as they affect the security situation of a country. When we produce vulnerability assessments for our clients, six vulnerability (threats) factors are analyzed and assessed while four hazards are also analyzed and assessed. If gaps are identified they are covered by atmospherics elements.The goal of our tweets is to highlight and provide examples of the research that we do. It is not a complete list but merely a very small sample for our followers.

From 10 December:

1. Venezuela update: Caracas had over 5 000 murders in 2013 so far. Vulnerability levels remain unchanged. Consult us prior to travel there.

Comment: This is an indicator of many things; socio-economics dynamics as well as the state of the country's overall security situation. In order to understand the extremely high murder numbers for a metro area of approximately 3 million, a few factors must be considered and analysed. Then unbiased conclusions must be drawn. Violent crimes, especially with guns make Venezuela one of the most violent countries. We assess, based on what we know, that the murder rate in Caracas will not lower in the mid- term (2-5 years). Based on how the economic situation evolves, the murder rate is likely to rise during the same period. What does it mean for the business traveller? This should not prevent travel at all to Caracas. However certain requirements are justifiable in order to remain safe and to return home unharmed. That is why a consultation with us is the right decision. Military Commanders entrusted us for their operations successes. So should you.

2.  Hong Kong: H7N9: 19 isolated after contact with man in second bird flu case. Health hazards concerns remain for for area. Monitoring ongoing.

Comment: This constitutes a clear health hazard for a specific and high density populated area. Regardless of the origin or how the authorities deal with the potential outbreak, what matters is how fast and where the flu will spread next.

This is when our clients can rest assured. After we produce a confidential and accurate vulnerability assessment our work is not complete. Our due diligence will extend to daily e-mails or text which can often be unscheduled as a specific hazard or threat warrants an update that supersedes our previous recommendations.

We invite you to review our past twitter posts as well as this blog's entries. We encourage feedback and questions to our e-mail: parsec.consulting@gmail.com


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