We will go back on some of our tweets of interest of the past week and expand further on the indicators that we presented, as they affect the security situation of a country. When we produce vulnerability assessments for our clients, six vulnerability (threats) factors are analyzed and assessed while four hazards are also analyzed and assessed. If gaps are identified they are covered by atmospherics elements. The goal of our tweets is to highlight and provide examples of the research that we do.
From February 26:
1. We respectfully disagree with Cuenca area [as a travel destination] for many reasons. Muggings in the city & landmines to the south are two problems.
2. We advise travellers to be wary of "off the cuff" exotic destinations recommendations. Do your due diligence; we read numerous "nice" places to visit by popular blogs that were not advisable due to higher threats to tourists
Our comment: Daily, we find questionable & unsafe travel destinations that are recommended throughout the media, by travel professionals and in various social medias. The common trait to these destination choices is the lack of valid information with regards to the personal safety, the threats, hazards and other associated risks that may involuntarily endanger tourists and business travellers alike. Examples abound: from backpackers who get in trouble while hitch hiking abroad (self-endangerment), to tourists being extorted (criminal threat) while in popular resorts or to having one's drink spiked with date rape drugs, credible safety prevention is usually absent.
Travel recommendation for specific countries or regions should at the very least be accompanied with quotes from your government travel advisory website. There are many travel agencies that rely on those sites to provide guidance and due diligence for their customers. The problem is that governments advice to travellers is over cautious, is reactive (they update, then advise after a fact occurred) and rarely provide helpful insight. Unfortunately this results in a huge information gap that may bring uncertain outcomes for the traveller, ruining the vacation of a lifetime...
Think we exaggerate? Please read this article from the very excellent Lindsay Murdoch. His article is very telling and showcases why and how governments travel advisories can often be incomplete. We, as a travel security advice firm had preliminarily assessed this back on 28 November.
Another theme that is recurring in order to keep travellers safer are the near real time tips or shared experiences that are found on internet forums which usually prove to be quite effective. At the same time, some other travel advice found there can better be left ignored.
For some, reading the papers, watching the news or judging for oneself can do. Life is a gamble, right?
Some famous last words before departure can be "your travel destination is perfectly safe". Scary... but may be too late when abroad, regrettably.
Where can the traveller find good, up to date and proven advice in a centralized manner?
A "one stop shop" for all personal safety requirements against threats and hazards?
Not easy!
Our outlook: We provide proven, reliable and accurate assessments while also offering easy to follow courses of actions for the tourist and business traveller alike in order for them to remain safe while abroad in higher risk countries and to return home unharmed.
Every travel destination is uniquely different and requires adequate research, analysis and accurate assessments to properly advise against the possible threats and hazards. We welcome inquiries so we can determine your security needs. Your first consultation is always free.
We invite you to review our past twitter posts @parsecconsult as well as this blog's entries.
We encourage feedback and questions to our e-mail: parsec.consulting@gmail.com
Our website: http://parsecconsulting.wix.com/parsecconsulting
Attribution: copies and redistribution of the above material in any medium or format is authorized providing full attribution is credited by using full link of present blog.
Thursday 27 February 2014
Sunday 23 February 2014
SO WHAT?
The XXII Olympic Winter Games, hosted in Sochi (Russia) were a major international multi-sport event that remained terrorism free. We are probably the only travel security firm that was accurate in judging that outcome. While the Paralympic Games have yet to occur, we confidently judge that terrorism events are highly unlikely to happen for the immediate vicinity of Sochi and for where Olympics related events are scheduled. We also assess that the FIFA World Cup Games in several cities in Brazil will be disrupted by violence and we will communicate an accurate assessment by late March.
Many travel security firms (to include travel "intelligence", "security" "risk management", "consultancy", "surveillance", etc.) pretend to offer many services that are initially very attractive and effective but... in the end provide nothing close to what is advertised. They usually promote lucky feats, display great flashy websites and claim to offer perfect insight and luxurious corporate options. They still mostly underline unrealistic services such as GPS tracking or "close security" services that all invariably prove to fail to answer what travellers really require: what can harm me while I will be away?
We constantly deliver what our clients require prior and while in foreign nations: a comprehensive vulnerability assessment. In a way they understand.
We are not retired military Generals or Admirals, we are not high end corporate administrators or ex-government top guns. We are intelligence analyst professionals. Military Commanders relied on us for when it mattered. We strive to identify information gaps that travellers should be aware of to remain safe while in higher risk countries.
Simple, while cost effective. No gimmicks. No tricks.
Our clients need to be safe and we recommend realistic, actionable courses of action. We provide what is demanded: accurate, real-time advice & recommendations. As a result our clients remain safe while abroad and return home unharmed and successful.
Again, we did assess that the Sochi Winter Games would not experience terrorism events. The main stream media and countless other agencies speculated on uncertain outcomes.
Every travel destination is uniquely different and requires adequate research, analysis and accurate assessments to properly advise against the possible threats and hazards. We welcome inquiries so we can determine your security needs. Your first consultation is always free.
We invite you to review our past twitter posts @parsecconsult as well as this blog's entries.
We encourage feedback and questions to our e-mail: parsec.consulting@gmail.com
Our website: http://parsecconsulting.wix.com/parsecconsulting
Attribution: copies and redistribution of the above material in any medium or format is authorized providing full attribution is credited by using full link of present blog.
Many travel security firms (to include travel "intelligence", "security" "risk management", "consultancy", "surveillance", etc.) pretend to offer many services that are initially very attractive and effective but... in the end provide nothing close to what is advertised. They usually promote lucky feats, display great flashy websites and claim to offer perfect insight and luxurious corporate options. They still mostly underline unrealistic services such as GPS tracking or "close security" services that all invariably prove to fail to answer what travellers really require: what can harm me while I will be away?
We constantly deliver what our clients require prior and while in foreign nations: a comprehensive vulnerability assessment. In a way they understand.
We are not retired military Generals or Admirals, we are not high end corporate administrators or ex-government top guns. We are intelligence analyst professionals. Military Commanders relied on us for when it mattered. We strive to identify information gaps that travellers should be aware of to remain safe while in higher risk countries.
Simple, while cost effective. No gimmicks. No tricks.
Our clients need to be safe and we recommend realistic, actionable courses of action. We provide what is demanded: accurate, real-time advice & recommendations. As a result our clients remain safe while abroad and return home unharmed and successful.
Again, we did assess that the Sochi Winter Games would not experience terrorism events. The main stream media and countless other agencies speculated on uncertain outcomes.
Every travel destination is uniquely different and requires adequate research, analysis and accurate assessments to properly advise against the possible threats and hazards. We welcome inquiries so we can determine your security needs. Your first consultation is always free.
We invite you to review our past twitter posts @parsecconsult as well as this blog's entries.
We encourage feedback and questions to our e-mail: parsec.consulting@gmail.com
Our website: http://parsecconsulting.wix.com/parsecconsulting
Attribution: copies and redistribution of the above material in any medium or format is authorized providing full attribution is credited by using full link of present blog.
Saturday 22 February 2014
HIGHER RISK DESTINATIONS
Several governments, such as France, the United Kingdom, Australia, Belgium and many others have travel advisory and warning websites intended for their citizens that have to travel abroad. These services are excellent and usually are very comprehensive for the great majority of travellers needs. They normally share common definitions and have the same destinations under travel warnings. The scope of the websites is to inform travellers of the risks to their personal safety while away and is based on news reports, current events and when information becomes available. The information is therefore reactive in nature which can be significant due to the absence of indications of anticipated changes to the security situation of a specific destination. The absence of indicators is referred to as an information gap. Your government is not in the business of assessing the likelihood of future events for you; they will advise you based on the current security situation and that advice is generic in nature.
We at PAR-SEC Consulting offer the professional service of analyzing the specifics of our clients' travel information requirements and assess how the security situation will evolve for the duration of where they will be. We then advise and recommend certain courses of action so our clients remain safe while away and return home unharmed. We therefore fill all information gaps that have been identified, a service that governments do not offer.
How tragic can it be when a traveller is inadvertently trapped in a foreign nation due to a rapidly occurring political event, a sudden terrorist attack or because of a natural disaster? It can happen more often than not and examples are found in the medias everywhere daily.
We usually offer our services for travellers that require to travel to what we refer to as higher risk countries and regions. We do not openly recommend travel to areas where wars are occurring. We specialize in regions where specific security concerns have been identified and are still evolving, effectively covering information gaps left out by government websites. The following is a partial list for some of the usual countries that we assess as at higher risk and for where the security situation is still negatively evolving. (For a complete list please contact us):
Algeria, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Belize, Bolivia, Cambodia, the People's Republic of China, Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Ethiopia, Georgia, Guatemala, Haiti, India, Israel, Kenya, Madagascar, Mexico, Morocco, Oman, Peru, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Suriname, Thailand, Tunisia, the U.A.E., Venezuela, Vietnam or Zambia.
We offer two distinct services: vulnerability assessment reports for tourists and more specific reports addressing the security requirements of business travellers.
Countries such as Afghanistan, Syria, Mali, Pakistan, Iraq or Somalia should be avoided for travel and we do not openly recommend.
Finally, you must know that when travelling to higher risk countries your government will require their citizens to check their destination travel advisories while planning the trip and just prior to leaving. In addition they leave the risk of travel entirely to the citizen, where information gaps exist, detrimental for proper guidance.
Every travel destination is uniquely different and requires adequate research, analysis and accurate assessments to properly advise against the possible threats and hazards. We welcome inquiries so we can determine your security needs. Your first consultation is always free.
We invite you to review our past twitter posts @parsecconsult as well as this blog's entries.
We encourage feedback and questions to our e-mail: parsec.consulting@gmail.com
Our website: http://parsecconsulting.wix.com/parsecconsulting
Attribution: copies and redistribution of the above material in any medium or format is authorized providing full attribution is credited by using full link of present blog.
We at PAR-SEC Consulting offer the professional service of analyzing the specifics of our clients' travel information requirements and assess how the security situation will evolve for the duration of where they will be. We then advise and recommend certain courses of action so our clients remain safe while away and return home unharmed. We therefore fill all information gaps that have been identified, a service that governments do not offer.
How tragic can it be when a traveller is inadvertently trapped in a foreign nation due to a rapidly occurring political event, a sudden terrorist attack or because of a natural disaster? It can happen more often than not and examples are found in the medias everywhere daily.
We usually offer our services for travellers that require to travel to what we refer to as higher risk countries and regions. We do not openly recommend travel to areas where wars are occurring. We specialize in regions where specific security concerns have been identified and are still evolving, effectively covering information gaps left out by government websites. The following is a partial list for some of the usual countries that we assess as at higher risk and for where the security situation is still negatively evolving. (For a complete list please contact us):
Algeria, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Belize, Bolivia, Cambodia, the People's Republic of China, Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Ethiopia, Georgia, Guatemala, Haiti, India, Israel, Kenya, Madagascar, Mexico, Morocco, Oman, Peru, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Suriname, Thailand, Tunisia, the U.A.E., Venezuela, Vietnam or Zambia.
We offer two distinct services: vulnerability assessment reports for tourists and more specific reports addressing the security requirements of business travellers.
Countries such as Afghanistan, Syria, Mali, Pakistan, Iraq or Somalia should be avoided for travel and we do not openly recommend.
Finally, you must know that when travelling to higher risk countries your government will require their citizens to check their destination travel advisories while planning the trip and just prior to leaving. In addition they leave the risk of travel entirely to the citizen, where information gaps exist, detrimental for proper guidance.
Every travel destination is uniquely different and requires adequate research, analysis and accurate assessments to properly advise against the possible threats and hazards. We welcome inquiries so we can determine your security needs. Your first consultation is always free.
We invite you to review our past twitter posts @parsecconsult as well as this blog's entries.
We encourage feedback and questions to our e-mail: parsec.consulting@gmail.com
Our website: http://parsecconsulting.wix.com/parsecconsulting
Attribution: copies and redistribution of the above material in any medium or format is authorized providing full attribution is credited by using full link of present blog.
Friday 21 February 2014
WEEKLY ROUND-UP #11 (14 FEB-21 FEB)
We will go back on some of our tweets of interest of the past week and expand further on the indicators that we presented, as they affect the security situation of a country. When we produce vulnerability assessments for our clients, six vulnerability (threats) factors are analyzed and assessed while four hazards are also analyzed and assessed. If gaps are identified they are covered by atmospherics elements. The goal of our tweets is to highlight and provide examples of the research that we do. It is not a complete list but merely a very small sample for our followers. If you have to travel to higher risk countries, contact us for a preliminary and gratuitous consultation to define if you require our services.
From February 17:
1. Venezuela update: We judge that the country will experience further socio-economic degradation faster than first assessed. This will inevitably affect the security situation there (like it could get worst!). Consult us before travel there. Crime is the big threat.
2. Venezuela update: There are indications that Venezuela could get its own "Arab Spring" moment soon. Could military remove Maduro? Maybe.
Our comment: Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela since 1999) has experienced its fair share of civil unrest lately as anti-government protests have intensified significantly in terms of scale and violence. The country's economy is in a tailspin despite of being the world's ninth oil producer and enjoying a reported unemployment rate of approximately 6%. There are basic goods shortages such as toilet paper and the inflation rate is out of control at 56%. Violent crimes, to include murders are now rampant. There are regular reports of human rights violation and censorship is omnipresent. Without getting into politics or criticizing the country's economic decisions, travellers to Venezuela need an upfront approach on what matters to them if travel there is required. Personal safety is at the top of what is needed to be known. First off, if you are a tourist that has the desire to visit Venezuela at this time, we recommend against as there are a multitude of safer options for Latin America. The strictest necessary travel there should be at least reconsidered and professional advice is required as tourists and business people are highly likely to be targeted for crimes of opportunity.
Our outlook: We judge that public discontent is not temporary. The country has steadily taken steps back socially and economically for at least 10 years now. At the rate that events are evolving, there is a high probability of worsening political instability over the coming year which could be negatively compounded if oil prices are lowered globally. Crime will remain the highest threat to visitors while the collateral factor is assessed to be at the same level. We judge unlikely that Venezuela will become a safer destination for travellers in the next two to five years.
Every travel destination is uniquely different and requires adequate research, analysis and accurate assessments to properly advise against the possible threats and hazards. We welcome inquiries so we can determine your security needs. Your first consultation is always free.
We invite you to review our past twitter posts @parsecconsult as well as this blog's entries.
We encourage feedback and questions to our e-mail: parsec.consulting@gmail.com
Our website: http://parsecconsulting.wix.com/parsecconsulting
Attribution: copies and redistribution of the above material in any medium or format is authorized providing full attribution is credited by using full link of present blog.
From February 17:
1. Venezuela update: We judge that the country will experience further socio-economic degradation faster than first assessed. This will inevitably affect the security situation there (like it could get worst!). Consult us before travel there. Crime is the big threat.
2. Venezuela update: There are indications that Venezuela could get its own "Arab Spring" moment soon. Could military remove Maduro? Maybe.
Our comment: Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela since 1999) has experienced its fair share of civil unrest lately as anti-government protests have intensified significantly in terms of scale and violence. The country's economy is in a tailspin despite of being the world's ninth oil producer and enjoying a reported unemployment rate of approximately 6%. There are basic goods shortages such as toilet paper and the inflation rate is out of control at 56%. Violent crimes, to include murders are now rampant. There are regular reports of human rights violation and censorship is omnipresent. Without getting into politics or criticizing the country's economic decisions, travellers to Venezuela need an upfront approach on what matters to them if travel there is required. Personal safety is at the top of what is needed to be known. First off, if you are a tourist that has the desire to visit Venezuela at this time, we recommend against as there are a multitude of safer options for Latin America. The strictest necessary travel there should be at least reconsidered and professional advice is required as tourists and business people are highly likely to be targeted for crimes of opportunity.
Our outlook: We judge that public discontent is not temporary. The country has steadily taken steps back socially and economically for at least 10 years now. At the rate that events are evolving, there is a high probability of worsening political instability over the coming year which could be negatively compounded if oil prices are lowered globally. Crime will remain the highest threat to visitors while the collateral factor is assessed to be at the same level. We judge unlikely that Venezuela will become a safer destination for travellers in the next two to five years.
Every travel destination is uniquely different and requires adequate research, analysis and accurate assessments to properly advise against the possible threats and hazards. We welcome inquiries so we can determine your security needs. Your first consultation is always free.
We invite you to review our past twitter posts @parsecconsult as well as this blog's entries.
We encourage feedback and questions to our e-mail: parsec.consulting@gmail.com
Our website: http://parsecconsulting.wix.com/parsecconsulting
Attribution: copies and redistribution of the above material in any medium or format is authorized providing full attribution is credited by using full link of present blog.
Thursday 13 February 2014
WEEKLY ROUND-UP #10 (07 FEB-13 FEB)
We will go back on some of our tweets of interest of the past week and expand further on the indicators that we presented, as they affect the security situation of a country. When we produce vulnerability assessments for our clients, six vulnerability (threats) factors are analyzed and assessed while four hazards are also analyzed and assessed. If gaps are identified they are covered by atmospherics elements. The goal of our tweets is to highlight and provide examples of the research that we do. It is not a complete list but merely a very small sample for our followers. If you have to travel to higher risk countries, contact us for a preliminary and gratuitous consultation to define if you require our services.
From February 11:
1. Sochi update: Day 4 of Winter Olympics We have no indications that could suggest terrorism to affect Games sites ATT. Our assessment remains unchanged: Sochi Games sites highly likely to remain terror free for Games duration (including the Paralympics). Attack a possibility out of area.
From February 12:
2. Hunafa.com: North Caucasus Jihadists implore Muslims to pray for "earthquake in Sochi" & kill infidels. Really. Not joking.
Our comment: The MSM has repeatedly highlighted and speculated about the possibility for acts of terrorism to occur during the XXII Olympic Winter Games, hosted by Russia in Sochi. By now, most of us are aware of the Games there and its relative proximity to the north Caucasus, an area east of Sochi, where an important Islamist insurgency is based.
A simple google search of two key words: "Sochi" and "terrorism" returned close to 67 million results! Many news outlets have reported or rebroadcasted the fact that there are "high probabilities" for terrorism to happen in Sochi. Other headlines have included "terrorism is still a very high threat for Sochi", to "terrorists will hit Sochi" to even "UK officials warn that terror attacks very likely". Whatever the headline - sensationalistic or not - we have to agree on a few facts in order to debunk the MSM's lack of credibility on that very subject.
First, a terror event has yet to be reported as day 6 is now over.
Second, Islamists such as Dagestani or Chechen extremists have the intent to attack Sochi and this is a well documented fact.
Third, Russian authorities did report that they have made arrests of "terrorists" and "extremists" that were linked to Sochi.
Do we know if those groups have a capability to actually carry out an attack against the Games sites, against athletes or spectators? Not really. If they had the capability to reach and execute an act of terror, they would have done so by now. At least, clues or indications of this capability would exist or... they do not possess the ability to harm the public in Sochi. At all. We at PAR-SEC Consulting assess that north Caucasus based Islamists do not possess the capability to enter the safe zone and to successfully carry out a deadly, spectacular attack. This is based on the analysis that we do, indicators available to us and the overall facts collated.
Our outlook: Unchanged since December: "We assess that the games are highly likely to be violence free, however some minor disturbances cannot be discounted."
Every travel destination is uniquely different and requires adequate research, analysis and accurate assessments to properly advise against the possible threats and hazards. We welcome inquiries so we can determine your security needs. Your first consultation is always free.
We invite you to review our past twitter posts @parsecconsult as well as this blog's entries.
We encourage feedback and questions to our e-mail: parsec.consulting@gmail.com
Our website: http://parsecconsulting.wix.com/parsecconsulting
Attribution: copies and redistribution of the above material in any medium or format is authorized providing full attribution is credited by using full link of present blog.
From February 11:
1. Sochi update: Day 4 of Winter Olympics We have no indications that could suggest terrorism to affect Games sites ATT. Our assessment remains unchanged: Sochi Games sites highly likely to remain terror free for Games duration (including the Paralympics). Attack a possibility out of area.
From February 12:
2. Hunafa.com: North Caucasus Jihadists implore Muslims to pray for "earthquake in Sochi" & kill infidels. Really. Not joking.
Our comment: The MSM has repeatedly highlighted and speculated about the possibility for acts of terrorism to occur during the XXII Olympic Winter Games, hosted by Russia in Sochi. By now, most of us are aware of the Games there and its relative proximity to the north Caucasus, an area east of Sochi, where an important Islamist insurgency is based.
A simple google search of two key words: "Sochi" and "terrorism" returned close to 67 million results! Many news outlets have reported or rebroadcasted the fact that there are "high probabilities" for terrorism to happen in Sochi. Other headlines have included "terrorism is still a very high threat for Sochi", to "terrorists will hit Sochi" to even "UK officials warn that terror attacks very likely". Whatever the headline - sensationalistic or not - we have to agree on a few facts in order to debunk the MSM's lack of credibility on that very subject.
First, a terror event has yet to be reported as day 6 is now over.
Second, Islamists such as Dagestani or Chechen extremists have the intent to attack Sochi and this is a well documented fact.
Third, Russian authorities did report that they have made arrests of "terrorists" and "extremists" that were linked to Sochi.
Do we know if those groups have a capability to actually carry out an attack against the Games sites, against athletes or spectators? Not really. If they had the capability to reach and execute an act of terror, they would have done so by now. At least, clues or indications of this capability would exist or... they do not possess the ability to harm the public in Sochi. At all. We at PAR-SEC Consulting assess that north Caucasus based Islamists do not possess the capability to enter the safe zone and to successfully carry out a deadly, spectacular attack. This is based on the analysis that we do, indicators available to us and the overall facts collated.
Our outlook: Unchanged since December: "We assess that the games are highly likely to be violence free, however some minor disturbances cannot be discounted."
Every travel destination is uniquely different and requires adequate research, analysis and accurate assessments to properly advise against the possible threats and hazards. We welcome inquiries so we can determine your security needs. Your first consultation is always free.
We invite you to review our past twitter posts @parsecconsult as well as this blog's entries.
We encourage feedback and questions to our e-mail: parsec.consulting@gmail.com
Our website: http://parsecconsulting.wix.com/parsecconsulting
Attribution: copies and redistribution of the above material in any medium or format is authorized providing full attribution is credited by using full link of present blog.
Wednesday 12 February 2014
QUESTIONS, ANSWERS AND GENERAL TIPS FOR TRAVELLERS
Question #1: What could be certain precautions to be taken while visiting Ethiopia?
There are many precautions to be taken. One of them is to avoid travel along the Somaliland and Somalia borders area.
Why? Banditry and lawlessness are two reasons. There are safer areas in which to travel elsewhere albeit bearing in mind some protective measures.
For more details on travel to Ethiopia please contact us for a full vulnerability assessment.
Question #2: Is it safe to travel to Lebanon right now?
Well it actually depends. There are several factors to consider. First, a few facts:
1. Sectarian divisions. There are ethnic/religious based pressures right now in Lebanon, especially since the start of the Syrian civil war. Shias/Alawites and the Sunni communities are at odds.
2. Hizbullah. Where this Islamic group is prominent, there are precautions to be taken. The collateral threat from Sunni attacks are real.
3. Tripoli area. The northern city of Tripoli has experienced on/off civil unrest, usually pretty violent to include heavily armed groups.
4. Border regions with Syria. The collateral risk is not insignificant: artillery, aerial bombings and mortar exposures.
Never underestimate that travel cannot be pursued in most areas of Lebanon. Analyzing and estimating risk is a must. Certain security measures must be adhered to in order to mitigate most potential issues.
Question #3: Thinking of visiting a Muslim country such as the U.A.E. or Qatar?
There are a few basic recommendations for a nice, enjoyable visit to some of the Persian Gulf countries. We will address two.
Please note that Muslim countries such as Bahrain, Qatar or the U.A.E. are quite secular and more open to western fashions.
1. Attire. Men should always wear long sleeve shirts as well as pants. This is in order to adhere to local customs, that are based on religion. Sandals are acceptable shoewear. White shirts and pale colour pants such as beige are quite popular. Jeans are usually hip in big cities such as Dubai or in Manama.
Women, when in public should wear pants, long sleeve shirts as well as a shawl. Flat, closed toed shoes are preferred for all women. In cooler weather, wearing a raincoat allows a woman to easily blend in.
These recommendations are ideal when outside at a market or any other oublic place. Whenever inside a mall women have been seen without a scarf or shawl, and that without being perceived negatively.
2. Alcohol. Restrain from drinking in public or to appear intoxicated in public. For example, Dubai has a few "watering holes" that cater to expats. Muslim taxi drivers may drive you straight to the nearest police station if you smell like alcohol. Penalties can be severe.
Enjoy beverages in your hotel lobby or room.
Question #4: What exactly is Kidnap and Ransom (K&R) insurance?
By definition, K&R insurance is designed to protect individuals and corporations operating in high-risk areas around the world. Some countries include Afghanistan, Yemen, Niger or Haiti.
Policies typically cover the perils of kidnap, extortion, wrongful detention, and hijacking. No actual ransom payment is included. The insured must first pay the ransom, thus incurring the loss, and then seek reimbursement under the policy. Losses typically reimbursed by K&R polices are ransom payments, loss-of-ransom-in-transit and additional expenses, such as medical expenses.
Note: For a K&R Insurance quotation please follow the link to Blue Sky Insurance Brokers
Question #5: How difficult is it to not be caught in the middle of violent public riots?
First off you can consult your governments Warning to Travellers websites, in which they can detail what areas to avoid. Unfortunately they are only warnings or advice which means that the said public unrest or violents protests could have actually occured. Sometimes it is too late: you're smack in the middle of it, risking injury or worse.
Can public unrest actually be forecasted?
Often, yes but it is not always an exact science. It requires research and analytical judgement in order to be effective. We at PAR-SEC Consulting utilize several intelligence analysis techniques that have proven extremely effective in military operations and over a long period of time. We do use countless sources and agencies in order to establish trends and patterns. We collect impressive amounts of unbiased, reliable and critical information and data, have access to top notch social media sources and we carry out solid predictive analysis in order to best draw up highly probable forecasts. We use situational logic, we scrutinize, continually update and monitor for the faintest of information elements that will make a difference. Usually, to assemble hundreds or thousands of rioters into one specific area requires a trigger.
Question #6: What are atmospherics intelligence and Human Terrain System (HTS)?
They are both emerging, while already proven intelligence disciplines. HTS was initially a military intelligence support program for Commanders to better understand the local population within his or her area of operation. Through better cultural understanding and cognizance, military Commanders can eliminate factors that may hinder operations all the while minimizing negative impacts with regards to the local populace.
Atmospherics intelligence, or simply atmospherics, assesses local dynamics for a given area and studies the environment from a variety of local perspectives. This is more or less "local" intelligence; very accurate for a small area of travel.
PAR-SEC Consulting has adapted these disciplines and apply them to further its threat and hazard analysis to alleviate many factors to ensure safer travels for its clientele.
We invite you to review our past twitter posts @parsecconsult as well as this blog's entries.
We encourage feedback and questions to our e-mail: parsec.consulting@gmail.com
Our website: http://parsecconsulting.wix.com/parsecconsulting
Attribution: copies and redistribution of the above material in any medium or format is authorized providing full attribution is credited by using full link of present blog.
There are many precautions to be taken. One of them is to avoid travel along the Somaliland and Somalia borders area.
Why? Banditry and lawlessness are two reasons. There are safer areas in which to travel elsewhere albeit bearing in mind some protective measures.
For more details on travel to Ethiopia please contact us for a full vulnerability assessment.
Question #2: Is it safe to travel to Lebanon right now?
Well it actually depends. There are several factors to consider. First, a few facts:
1. Sectarian divisions. There are ethnic/religious based pressures right now in Lebanon, especially since the start of the Syrian civil war. Shias/Alawites and the Sunni communities are at odds.
2. Hizbullah. Where this Islamic group is prominent, there are precautions to be taken. The collateral threat from Sunni attacks are real.
3. Tripoli area. The northern city of Tripoli has experienced on/off civil unrest, usually pretty violent to include heavily armed groups.
4. Border regions with Syria. The collateral risk is not insignificant: artillery, aerial bombings and mortar exposures.
Never underestimate that travel cannot be pursued in most areas of Lebanon. Analyzing and estimating risk is a must. Certain security measures must be adhered to in order to mitigate most potential issues.
Question #3: Thinking of visiting a Muslim country such as the U.A.E. or Qatar?
There are a few basic recommendations for a nice, enjoyable visit to some of the Persian Gulf countries. We will address two.
Please note that Muslim countries such as Bahrain, Qatar or the U.A.E. are quite secular and more open to western fashions.
1. Attire. Men should always wear long sleeve shirts as well as pants. This is in order to adhere to local customs, that are based on religion. Sandals are acceptable shoewear. White shirts and pale colour pants such as beige are quite popular. Jeans are usually hip in big cities such as Dubai or in Manama.
Women, when in public should wear pants, long sleeve shirts as well as a shawl. Flat, closed toed shoes are preferred for all women. In cooler weather, wearing a raincoat allows a woman to easily blend in.
These recommendations are ideal when outside at a market or any other oublic place. Whenever inside a mall women have been seen without a scarf or shawl, and that without being perceived negatively.
2. Alcohol. Restrain from drinking in public or to appear intoxicated in public. For example, Dubai has a few "watering holes" that cater to expats. Muslim taxi drivers may drive you straight to the nearest police station if you smell like alcohol. Penalties can be severe.
Enjoy beverages in your hotel lobby or room.
Question #4: What exactly is Kidnap and Ransom (K&R) insurance?
By definition, K&R insurance is designed to protect individuals and corporations operating in high-risk areas around the world. Some countries include Afghanistan, Yemen, Niger or Haiti.
Policies typically cover the perils of kidnap, extortion, wrongful detention, and hijacking. No actual ransom payment is included. The insured must first pay the ransom, thus incurring the loss, and then seek reimbursement under the policy. Losses typically reimbursed by K&R polices are ransom payments, loss-of-ransom-in-transit and additional expenses, such as medical expenses.
Note: For a K&R Insurance quotation please follow the link to Blue Sky Insurance Brokers
Question #5: How difficult is it to not be caught in the middle of violent public riots?
First off you can consult your governments Warning to Travellers websites, in which they can detail what areas to avoid. Unfortunately they are only warnings or advice which means that the said public unrest or violents protests could have actually occured. Sometimes it is too late: you're smack in the middle of it, risking injury or worse.
Can public unrest actually be forecasted?
Often, yes but it is not always an exact science. It requires research and analytical judgement in order to be effective. We at PAR-SEC Consulting utilize several intelligence analysis techniques that have proven extremely effective in military operations and over a long period of time. We do use countless sources and agencies in order to establish trends and patterns. We collect impressive amounts of unbiased, reliable and critical information and data, have access to top notch social media sources and we carry out solid predictive analysis in order to best draw up highly probable forecasts. We use situational logic, we scrutinize, continually update and monitor for the faintest of information elements that will make a difference. Usually, to assemble hundreds or thousands of rioters into one specific area requires a trigger.
Question #6: What are atmospherics intelligence and Human Terrain System (HTS)?
They are both emerging, while already proven intelligence disciplines. HTS was initially a military intelligence support program for Commanders to better understand the local population within his or her area of operation. Through better cultural understanding and cognizance, military Commanders can eliminate factors that may hinder operations all the while minimizing negative impacts with regards to the local populace.
Atmospherics intelligence, or simply atmospherics, assesses local dynamics for a given area and studies the environment from a variety of local perspectives. This is more or less "local" intelligence; very accurate for a small area of travel.
PAR-SEC Consulting has adapted these disciplines and apply them to further its threat and hazard analysis to alleviate many factors to ensure safer travels for its clientele.
We invite you to review our past twitter posts @parsecconsult as well as this blog's entries.
We encourage feedback and questions to our e-mail: parsec.consulting@gmail.com
Our website: http://parsecconsulting.wix.com/parsecconsulting
Attribution: copies and redistribution of the above material in any medium or format is authorized providing full attribution is credited by using full link of present blog.
Thursday 6 February 2014
WEEKLY ROUND-UP #9 (31 JAN-06 FEB)
We will go back on some of our tweets of interest of the past week and expand further on the indicators that we presented, as they affect the security situation of a country. When we produce vulnerability assessments for our clients, six vulnerability (threats) factors are analyzed and assessed while four hazards are also analyzed and assessed. If gaps are identified they are covered by atmospherics elements. The goal of our tweets is to highlight and provide examples of the research that we do. It is not a complete list but merely a very small sample for our followers. If you have to travel to higher risk countries, contact us for a preliminary and gratuitous consultation to define if you require our services.
From 03 February:
1. Yemen update: A British oil worker reportedly kidnapped in Sana'a. This could have been avoided. Contact us prior to travel.
2. Venezuela update: 15 kidnappings were reported in Caracas so far in 2014. That averages three per week. Consult us prior to travel.
From 05 February:
3. Travelling to Mexico? Know that 720 murders were committed in January alone. There are safe ways for travel there & we can advise you on how.
From 06 February:
4. Cuba update: Canadian tourist detained after traffic accident; traffic accidents causing death are treated as crimes by Cuban laws & the tourist is detained awaiting trial to prove innocence.
Our comment: Everyday, thousands of people worldwide take a well deserved vacation to an exotic destination in order to have the time of their lives. Everyone plans to have a great time. Most do. In fact, probably over 99% of vacationers experience a great time, trouble free. Some others, for whatever the reason, are not so lucky. Horror stories of tragic endings can be found in newspapers or on TV daily.
From drug possession, to being arrested for being drunk in a Muslim country, or an illegal detention, a robbery, or even from becoming ill, in the vast majority of cases, these bad events could have been prevented.
Seriously.
People will spend thousands of their hard earned dollars to go to a foreign country and unfortunately, sometimes end up in prison or even dead. Sure, they all planed for the trip to go well. They all practiced due diligence - in their own minds - but somehow got in serious trouble.
Foreign cultures and perception are huge factors that are usually overlooked by the traveller. For illustration purposes, a hand motion across the throat is perceived as a threat and that one will die, right? Not so in Haiti where it means that the person who is doing the motion is hungry. Yes!
Cultural variations can be significant and may mean the opposite of what westerners are accustomed to. In some cultures nodding up and down means no. Body language can be misinterpreted. Examples are endless. There is always something that we are not subject matter experts for and that insightful advice is required. When getting married, couples can hire a wedding planner to ensure that everything will go well and as planned. Same for your vehicle: you maintain it as scheduled because you need to rely on it. You finalize the purchase of your dream family home so you hire a house inspector as a preventative measure because you do not want bad $urpri$e$. These are all examples of good intent, and a desire to mitigate problems that may arise.
Prior to going away for that trip of a lifetime what can you do? Your travel agency can certainly advise you. Really? You access your government's travel warning website where they post advisories based on events that already occurred... and good luck. You can always google and research your country of destination and usually that will do for 99% of the time.
Our outlook: We offer insight so you can prevent many unfortunate circumstances that will
wreck your trip or worse, your lives. We cover all probable eventualities so our clients can enjoy their trip and focus on their fun. Many travel security firms will tell you what happened. That's it. They will tell you to avoid this or that because something bad happened last week. What about tomorrow? Or next week? Why can't they tell you that? Because they report the news and other after facts. We do not.
We thoroughly research what occurred in the past and discern trends and patterns. Based on that, we explain what is going on now and why it matters to you. We will also tell you what it means for you and make our recommendations. We will also accurately assess what is likely to occur next so we can expertly advise you to stay safe, happy and to return home unharmed. These are some of the things that make us unique and we pride ourselves to offer this insightful service. Consult us today.
Every travel destination is uniquely different and requires adequate research, analysis and accurate assessments to properly advise against the possible threats and hazards. We welcome inquiries so we can determine your security needs. Your first consultation is always free.
We invite you to review our past twitter posts @parsecconsult as well as this blog's entries.
We encourage feedback and questions to our e-mail: parsec.consulting@gmail.com
Attribution: copies and redistribution of the above material in any medium or format is authorized providing full attribution is credited by using full link of present blog.
From 03 February:
1. Yemen update: A British oil worker reportedly kidnapped in Sana'a. This could have been avoided. Contact us prior to travel.
2. Venezuela update: 15 kidnappings were reported in Caracas so far in 2014. That averages three per week. Consult us prior to travel.
From 05 February:
3. Travelling to Mexico? Know that 720 murders were committed in January alone. There are safe ways for travel there & we can advise you on how.
From 06 February:
4. Cuba update: Canadian tourist detained after traffic accident; traffic accidents causing death are treated as crimes by Cuban laws & the tourist is detained awaiting trial to prove innocence.
Our comment: Everyday, thousands of people worldwide take a well deserved vacation to an exotic destination in order to have the time of their lives. Everyone plans to have a great time. Most do. In fact, probably over 99% of vacationers experience a great time, trouble free. Some others, for whatever the reason, are not so lucky. Horror stories of tragic endings can be found in newspapers or on TV daily.
From drug possession, to being arrested for being drunk in a Muslim country, or an illegal detention, a robbery, or even from becoming ill, in the vast majority of cases, these bad events could have been prevented.
Seriously.
People will spend thousands of their hard earned dollars to go to a foreign country and unfortunately, sometimes end up in prison or even dead. Sure, they all planed for the trip to go well. They all practiced due diligence - in their own minds - but somehow got in serious trouble.
Foreign cultures and perception are huge factors that are usually overlooked by the traveller. For illustration purposes, a hand motion across the throat is perceived as a threat and that one will die, right? Not so in Haiti where it means that the person who is doing the motion is hungry. Yes!
Cultural variations can be significant and may mean the opposite of what westerners are accustomed to. In some cultures nodding up and down means no. Body language can be misinterpreted. Examples are endless. There is always something that we are not subject matter experts for and that insightful advice is required. When getting married, couples can hire a wedding planner to ensure that everything will go well and as planned. Same for your vehicle: you maintain it as scheduled because you need to rely on it. You finalize the purchase of your dream family home so you hire a house inspector as a preventative measure because you do not want bad $urpri$e$. These are all examples of good intent, and a desire to mitigate problems that may arise.
Prior to going away for that trip of a lifetime what can you do? Your travel agency can certainly advise you. Really? You access your government's travel warning website where they post advisories based on events that already occurred... and good luck. You can always google and research your country of destination and usually that will do for 99% of the time.
Our outlook: We offer insight so you can prevent many unfortunate circumstances that will
wreck your trip or worse, your lives. We cover all probable eventualities so our clients can enjoy their trip and focus on their fun. Many travel security firms will tell you what happened. That's it. They will tell you to avoid this or that because something bad happened last week. What about tomorrow? Or next week? Why can't they tell you that? Because they report the news and other after facts. We do not.
We thoroughly research what occurred in the past and discern trends and patterns. Based on that, we explain what is going on now and why it matters to you. We will also tell you what it means for you and make our recommendations. We will also accurately assess what is likely to occur next so we can expertly advise you to stay safe, happy and to return home unharmed. These are some of the things that make us unique and we pride ourselves to offer this insightful service. Consult us today.
Every travel destination is uniquely different and requires adequate research, analysis and accurate assessments to properly advise against the possible threats and hazards. We welcome inquiries so we can determine your security needs. Your first consultation is always free.
We invite you to review our past twitter posts @parsecconsult as well as this blog's entries.
We encourage feedback and questions to our e-mail: parsec.consulting@gmail.com
Attribution: copies and redistribution of the above material in any medium or format is authorized providing full attribution is credited by using full link of present blog.
Monday 3 February 2014
VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT FOR THE REPUBLIC OF ECUADOR
Note: This
vulnerability assessment is disseminated as a product demonstrator that best
illustrates our particular services to travellers to higher risk countries. We
strive to provide our clients with fidelity of insight that is tailored to
their specific destination and requirements. Reports are never reproduced for third party use as circumstances are
continually evolving, even for identical endpoints. Two types of reports are
usually produced: vulnerability assessments aimed for tourists and distinct
assessments for corporations and business travellers. This courtesy report is intended
for tourists to the Republic of Ecuador
(Ecuador) and excludes the province of Galapagos. Readers should also note that
the following constitutes a condensed
and generic variety of what is researched, analyzed, assessed and delivered
to the end user. If you have to travel to higher risk countries, contact us for
a preliminary and gratuitous consultation to define if you require our
services: parsec.consulting@gmail.com
SUMMARY & OUTLOOK
While most
visits to Ecuador are usually trouble-free it is recommended to exercise
a high degree of caution to ensure a memorable holiday. Do
not divulge the name of your hotel or room number to strangers. Avoid
unnecessary interaction with strangers. Be aware of the surroundings. Obey
local laws. Do not touch unknown animals and insects. Tourists are often
considered attractive targets for criminal activity and you should maintain a
low profile and never venture alone, especially after dark. Credit card cloning and fraud are common. It’s generally safer to use
cash. Safeguard your personal belongings,
passports and other travel documents at all times and make photocopies. The
tourist police, some of which do speak English, provide a security presence in
tourist areas and first response assistance to tourists. The most significant risk and hazards associated with travel to Ecuador
are from crime, health and diseases. Those factors are assessed at medium and
can be alleviated following our recommendations.
http://travel.state.gov/
https://www.gov.uk/
http://www.smartraveller.gov.au
http://www.trust.org/alertnet/
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook.html
https://www.osac.gov/
http://www.canadainternational.gc.ca/
www.southamericaliving.com
http://www.who.int/
https://www.google.ca/
Two confidential sources intentionally omitted.
*** Updated on 18 September: see para 7***
CURRENT SITUATION
- This vulnerability assessment provides actionable intelligence for travel to Ecuador. Two findings are identified up front: a high crime rate as well as the presence of health hazards which will be evaluated in detail. Upon arrival register at the nearest Embassy or consulate and exchange contact information. Always leave an updated itinerary with a third party of trust as well as pertinent related information. Safe keep your passport and make copies for re-issue in case of loss. Avoid travel to areas bordering Columbia and Peru. Enjoy your worry free vacation!ASSESSMENT OF THREAT & RISK FACTORS
- Government/security forces: The National Police of Ecuador as well as other security agencies have the reputation for being corrupt and have been accused of human rights violations. For example illegal arrests and detention, physical abuses toward journalists and demands for bribes have been witnessed. Travellers should be reminded that since tourism is a minor but growing contributor to the national economy, the likelihood of tourists being targeted is unlikely. Areas of high tourism usually enjoy a good police presence. To contact the National Police countrywide dial 101. Quito tourist police dial 02-2543-983. Always inform your nearest Embassy or consulate if experiencing legal problems. The vulnerability factors to tourists associated from government or security forces is assessed as LOW. (See annexes A and B for full definitions).
Our recommendations: Use common sense. Abide to all laws and directives from local authorities as warranted. - Kidnappings: Kidnappings targeting tourists is a concern. Express kidnappings (a method of abduction that is used to obtain small amounts of money by driving the victim from one ATM to another to withdraw the victim’s account limit) are becoming more frequent. This type of crime is often reported for Guayaquil. Instances of kidnappings in tourist areas are of less concern. The vulnerability factors to tourists associated with kidnappings are assessed as LOW.Our recommendations: Do not show obvious signs of affluence when in public; avoid wearing watches, jewellery or finer type clothing. Do not openly handle money. Remain in groups when practical and maintain a low profile while enjoying your stay.
- Crime: Petty crimes are common in urban areas. Thefts have been reported in resorts. As an example never openly display your cell phone as “snatch and run” crimes are reported. Thefts from hotel rooms have occurred. Violent crimes against tourists and locals alike such as homicides, armed assaults, robberies, sexual assaults, and home invasions are reported. Gangs and organized crime groups are present in the country. Although there has been an increase in violent crimes and homicides, tourist resorts are less likely to be targeted. Be aware that little is done by law enforcement to recover stolen goods or to resolve actual crimes. The vulnerability factors associated from kidnappings are assessed as MEDIUM.Our recommendations: Be situationally aware of your surroundings. Do not leave any of your personal belongings unattended. Avoid showing signs of affluence. You are advised against public transportation and being alone especially after sun dawn. Do not offer opportunities to become a victim of crime; consult our booklet for appropriate courses of action.
- Biases: There have been reports of discrimination and abuses based on sexual orientation, gender and race. We remind travellers that local culture, religious and social perceptions, opinions and sensitivities can differ from what is accustomed in many western countries. Assaults and altercations, albeit rare, have been reported. The vulnerability factors associated from biases towards tourists are assessed as LOW.Our recommendations: Some behaviour reconsiderations may be judicious when necessary.
- Terrorism/Insurgencies: With the exception of areas near the Columbian border, our extensive research indicates that there are no known terrorist groups operating in Ecuador. Insurgent groups have been identified. These groups have political motives and are highly unlikely to target westerners. There have been no terrorist or armed insurgent acts reported in the past year; however two probable insurgent events were recorded against governmental infrastructure in 2011. The vulnerability factors associated from terrorism or insurgencies to tourists are assessed as NO RECOGNIZED THREATS.
- Civil unrest/violent protests: Protests are part of Ecuadorian life as students, indigenous groups as well as unions constitute the usual groups that demonstrate from time to time against government institutions, usually within urban areas, especially Quito. Gatherings can be hasty and it is possible to get caught in a crowd without warning. In rural areas, road blocks appear to be the norm. Tourists are unlikely to be directly affected but are likely at risk if in the vicinity of large and sudden crowd gatherings. It cannot be discounted that such unrest/protests occur in areas popular with tourists due to the fact that governmental agencies are unlikely to be present. As of early September, anti-government demonstrations are likely to increase nationwide with the potential for mounting violence. The vulnerability factors associated from civil unrest and violent protests to tourists are assessed as LOW at this time but can elevate to MEDIUM if anti-government protests persist.
Our recommendations: Even though it may be difficult, leave the immediate vicinity of sudden crowd gatherings as acts of violence can suddenly arise. Be proactive and ask your hotel or resort staff for any scheduled demonstrations for where you will be.
ASSESSMENT OF HAZARDS
- Health: Many prevalent diseases are present in Ecuador such as tuberculosis and malaria. Air pollution is a concern in the larger cities. Local food, water supplies may be contaminated. Poor sanitation exist and is not at western standards. The hazard factors associated from health and diseases to tourists are assessed as MEDIUM.Our recommendations: Ensure you do consult with your local vaccination clinic for all required immunization prior to travel. If ill, do seek medical care in Quito or Guayaquil as they have higher standards for services. Better yet, go to private clinics. Common sense practices such as drinking from sealed bottles and to avoid consuming ice are prescribed. Purchase medical insurance prior to departure and inquire about the policy limitations.
- Risks from climate: Ecuador, as a relatively small country and does have three distinct climatic regions. The east and west sides of the country have higher humidity factors characterised by their tropical climates while the central Andean region experiences colder temperatures. There is a rainy season that extends from November usually until May. The hazard factors associated from climactic issues to tourists are assessed as LOW.Our recommendations: Dress properly for travel to higher altitude. Do note that there are important temperature differences between the cities of Guayaquil and Quito.
- Topography: Visitors can easily be affected by altitude sickness, a serious ailment and it is rather difficult to pin point exact symptoms. Quito sits at 2800m (9400’) above sea level while Guayaquil being a port city by the Pacific Ocean offers better opportunities. Among other topographical features, volcanoes are mainly situated along the Andes and many are active. Earthquakes have occurred, the most recent reported in 2010 at 7,1 on the Richter scale. Other reported natural disasters include floods, landslides and periods of drought. The hazard factors associated from topographical issues to tourists are assessed as LOW.Our recommendations: Tourists from low altitude countries should avoid the higher altitudes or at least progressively elevate. Do consult your doctor prior to departure if you have health limitations.
- Infrastructure: Traffic laws are similar to those in Canada but are often not respected. Outside major towns, road quality varies. Telecommunications and internet services are modest but usually reliable. The hazard factors associated from infrastructure are assessed as NO RECOGNIZED HAZARD.VULNERABILITY FACTORS AT A GLANCE
|
VULNERABILITY
FACTORS
|
ASSESSMENT
|
|
GOVERNMENT/SECURITY
FORCES
|
LOW
|
|
KIDNAPPINGS
|
LOW
|
|
CRIMES
& GANGS
|
MEDIUM
|
|
BIASES
|
LOW
|
|
TERRORISM/INSURGENCY
|
NO RECOGNIZED THREAT
|
|
CIVIL
UNREST/VIOLENT PROTESTS
|
LOW
|
|
HAZARDS
|
ASSESMENT
|
|
HEALTH
& DISEASES
|
MEDIUM
|
|
CLIMATE
RISKS
|
LOW
|
|
TOPOGRAPHY
|
LOW
|
|
INFRASTRUCTURE
|
NO RECOGNIZED HAZARD
|
Note: We
will send you daily e-mails for update reports. PAR-SEC Consulting wishes you a
memorable & worry free trip!
Annex A – Threat and
Operational Hazard Definitions
Vulnerability Factors
Definitions
NO RECOGNIZED THREAT:
No imminent
threats have been identified.
LOW: Possible hostile intent.
Although it may occur, threats are
mitigated if certain precautions are taken. Risk is assessed at less than
25%.
MEDIUM: Incentive to carry out hostile intent. This
is based on one or more indicators such as opportunity to act. Review our
recommendations. Risk is 50%.
HIGH: High likelihood to commit a hostile act. The
associated undertaking is to be avoided. This is based on
the current assessment of the vulnerability factor. Risk is higher than 75%.
Hazard Definitions
NO RECOGNIZED HAZARD:
No hazard
has been identified.
LOW: The hazard posed by
the mentioned factor is greater than
in Canada. Serious illness, injury, death are moderately more likely.
Precautionary measures may be necessary.
MEDIUM: The hazard posed by
the mentioned factor is such that serious disease, injuries, fatalities are probable and the chances of
surviving injuries are less than in Canada. Precautionary measures are necessary.
HIGH: The hazard posed by
the mentioned factor is such that serious disease, injury or fatality is/are extreme. Prolonged exposure will
result in serious injury/illness and/or fatality and this hazard is to be avoided based on the indicators
for the assessment.
Annex B – Terminology
Our definitions & associated key words
Government Forces: Military, Police,
para-military members. Uniformed or not. Bribes, corruption, unreliability,
illegal arrest or detainment.
Kidnappings: Actual acts reported,
known areas renowned for and opportunities for.
Crimes: Crimes against
persons to include assault, robbery, carjacking, rape, murder, crimes of
opportunity and by profiling. Crimes against property to include burglary,
identity theft, larceny, auto theft, carjacking, cyber scams.
Gangs: Crimes that include
multiple perpetrators, access to prostitution, bribery, extortion, and
blackmailing.
Terrorism/Insurgency:
Areas
with history of acts, presence of, popular or perceived support for.
Biases: How will the
traveller(s) be perceived in host country. Vulnerabilities may include one or a
combination of the following; race, religion, ethnic background, language(s)
spoken, skin color, gender, sexual orientation, mixed-race couple, past visas
in passport(s), political affiliation, financial status, nationality, employer,
etc.
References:
http://travel.state.gov/
https://www.gov.uk/
http://www.smartraveller.gov.au
http://www.trust.org/alertnet/
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook.html
https://www.osac.gov/
http://www.canadainternational.gc.ca/
www.southamericaliving.com
http://www.who.int/
https://www.google.ca/
Two confidential sources intentionally omitted.
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