We will go back on some of our tweets of interest of the past week and expand further on the indicators that we presented, as they affect the security situation of a country. When we produce vulnerability assessments for our clients, six vulnerability (threats) factors are analyzed and assessed while four hazards are also analyzed and assessed. If gaps are identified they are covered by atmospherics elements. The goal of our tweets is to highlight and provide examples of the research that we do. It is not a complete list but merely a very small sample for our followers. If you have to travel to higher risk countries, contact us for a preliminary and gratuitous consultation to define if you require our services.
From February 17:
1. Venezuela update: We judge that the country will experience further socio-economic degradation faster than first assessed. This will inevitably affect the security situation there (like it could get worst!). Consult us before travel there. Crime is the big threat.
2. Venezuela update: There are indications that Venezuela could get its own "Arab Spring" moment soon. Could military remove Maduro? Maybe.
Our comment: Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela since 1999) has experienced its fair share of civil unrest lately as anti-government protests have intensified significantly in terms of scale and violence. The country's economy is in a tailspin despite of being the world's ninth oil producer and enjoying a reported unemployment rate of approximately 6%. There are basic goods shortages such as toilet paper and the inflation rate is out of control at 56%. Violent crimes, to include murders are now rampant. There are regular reports of human rights violation and censorship is omnipresent. Without getting into politics or criticizing the country's economic decisions, travellers to Venezuela need an upfront approach on what matters to them if travel there is required. Personal safety is at the top of what is needed to be known. First off, if you are a tourist that has the desire to visit Venezuela at this time, we recommend against as there are a multitude of safer options for Latin America. The strictest necessary travel there should be at least reconsidered and professional advice is required as tourists and business people are highly likely to be targeted for crimes of opportunity.
Our outlook: We judge that public discontent is not temporary. The country has steadily taken steps back socially and economically for at least 10 years now. At the rate that events are evolving, there is a high probability of worsening political instability over the coming year which could be negatively compounded if oil prices are lowered globally. Crime will remain the highest threat to visitors while the collateral factor is assessed to be at the same level. We judge unlikely that Venezuela will become a safer destination for travellers in the next two to five years.
Every travel destination is uniquely different and requires adequate research, analysis and accurate assessments to properly advise against the possible threats and hazards. We welcome inquiries so we can determine your security needs. Your first consultation is always free.
We invite you to review our past twitter posts @parsecconsult as well as this blog's entries.
We encourage feedback and questions to our e-mail: parsec.consulting@gmail.com
Our website: http://parsecconsulting.wix.com/parsecconsulting
Attribution: copies and redistribution of the above material in any medium or format is authorized providing full attribution is credited by using full link of present blog.
No comments:
Post a Comment